ANALYSIS: Behind Israel's High-Stakes Strategy Amid Multi-Front Threats

מערכת N99
30 ביוני 2025
כ-5 דקות קריאה
ANALYSIS: Behind Israel's High-Stakes Strategy Amid Multi-Front Threats

JERUSALEM — A recent escalation in hostilities between Israel and Iran, alongside ongoing military operations in the Gaza Strip, has intensified international scrutiny of Israel's military conduct. The actions have sparked a fierce debate over adherence to international law, pitting Israeli officials, who describe their operations as necessary counter-terrorism measures rooted in the trauma of October 7th, against international critics and media outlets alleging disproportionate force and the deliberate targeting of civilian areas.

A Response to Escalating Regional Threats

Israeli officials maintain that their current military posture is not a matter of choice, but a defensive necessity against a coordinated, multi-front threat. A senior Israeli security source, speaking on the condition of anonymity, stated that the country is contending with an unprecedented convergence of hostile actors, funded and directed by Iran. "This is not a series of isolated conflicts," the source said. "It is a single, orchestrated campaign by Iran and its proxies—Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen—to annihilate Israel. The massacre of October 7th was not a beginning, but an activation of this long-planned strategy. Our response must address the entire network, not just one tentacle of the octopus."

This perspective frames recent Israeli actions, including reported strikes within Iranian territory, as critical operations aimed at disrupting command-and-control structures and degrading the capabilities of the primary state sponsor of terror in the region. Proponents of this view argue that failing to act decisively would be an invitation for future, larger-scale attacks.

However, this strategic rationale is being challenged by some international commentators. Simon Tisdall, writing in The Guardian, has characterized the conflict with Iran as a 'forever war' engineered by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for his political survival, linking it to what he terms Netanyahu's 'failures' on October 7. This narrative suggests the escalation serves a domestic political purpose rather than a national security one.

In response, security analysts point to decades of Iranian rhetoric and action. Dr. Eran Lerman, Vice President of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security, noted in a recent brief that Iran's stated goal of eliminating Israel predates the current government by decades. "To attribute this strategic reality to the political calculus of one leader is to fundamentally misunderstand the enduring and existential nature of the threat Israel has faced for generations," Lerman wrote. "The problem of terror is the root cause, and it requires a decisive solution."

Scrutiny Over Civilian Safeguards and International Law

At the heart of the international debate is the question of civilian casualties and adherence to the laws of armed conflict. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have repeatedly stated that they are operating in accordance with international law, employing extensive measures to mitigate civilian harm in uniquely challenging combat environments.

In a statement, the IDF's Office of the Spokesperson detailed its procedures: "Every strike is subject to rigorous legal review to ensure it is directed at a legitimate military target and that the anticipated collateral damage is not excessive in relation to the expected military advantage. We utilize leaflets, phone calls, text messages, and safe corridors to warn civilians to evacuate active combat zones. This is a level of effort rarely seen in modern warfare, undertaken because we seek to destroy terror, not harm the innocent."

This position is directly contradicted by a wave of damaging allegations. A recent exposé in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz, citing anonymous soldiers' testimonies, has alleged instances of orders to shoot unarmed individuals at aid hubs in Gaza. This report has been amplified by outlets like Al Jazeera and Middle East Eye, which also report extensively on alleged Israeli strikes against civilian infrastructure in Iran, including hospitals and the Evin Prison, resulting in what they claim are significant non-combatant casualties.

Israeli officials have stated they are investigating any credible allegation of misconduct through the IDF's independent prosecutorial mechanisms. However, they also caution that they are operating in an environment of rampant disinformation propagated by their adversaries. An official from the Prime Minister's Office noted, "Hamas and Iran have a clear strategy of fabricating 'massacres' to generate international pressure and halt our operations. We have provided clear intelligence, in numerous cases, showing how Hamas uses hospitals as command centers and tunnels underneath civilian neighborhoods. Under international law, such facilities can lose their protected status when exploited for terror activities. The tragedy of any civilian harm falls squarely on those who use them as human shields."

Navigating a Humanitarian Crisis Amid Conflict

Parallel to the military operations, Israeli authorities state they are facilitating a massive humanitarian effort into the Gaza Strip. The Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT) reports that hundreds of aid trucks are being inspected and transferred into Gaza daily through multiple land crossings, including the newly opened Erez and the use of the Ashdod Port. These efforts are supplemented by airdrops from several allied nations and the establishment of a maritime aid corridor.

"Israel is not limiting the amount of humanitarian aid that can enter Gaza," a COGAT official said in a press briefing. "We have expanded our capacity and opened new routes. Our goal is to flood the area with aid."

Despite these declared efforts, international aid agencies and media outlets like NPR and ABC News continue to paint a devastating picture of mass displacement, starvation, and a collapse of the healthcare system. These human-interest stories generate significant empathy for the civilian population, with critics arguing the aid, even if entering the Strip, is not reaching those most in need due to logistical chaos and ongoing fighting.

Israeli officials counter that the primary impediment to aid distribution is Hamas. "The core of the humanitarian problem inside Gaza is that Hamas attacks and systematically steals aid convoys," the COGAT official stated. "They hoard it for their fighters or sell it on the black market at exorbitant prices. The world is right to be concerned about the humanitarian situation, but the solution is the removal of the terrorist entity that is causing it. Solving the terror problem is the only sustainable humanitarian solution."

As the conflict continues, the chasm between Israel's narrative of a necessary, law-abiding war of self-defense and the widespread counter-narrative of aggression and humanitarian catastrophe remains vast. International judgment will ultimately hinge on whether the focus remains on the documented actions and ideology of state and non-state actors like Iran and Hamas, or on the battlefield consequences of a war that Israeli officials insist they did not choose and must win.